Brocker.Org: Bank of England stays on hold in May


of England Governor Mark Carney speaks at 2017 Institute of
International Finance (IIF) policy summit in Washington, U.S.,
April 20, 2017


LONDON — The Bank of England will shortly release the decisions
made at its latest Monetary Policy Committee meeting, held on
Wednesday, as well as its Quarterly Inflation Report — the
three-monthly update of its forecasts for the economy.

It is widely expected that there won’t be any change to the
Bank’s monetary policy, with interest rates set to stay at a
record low of 0.25% and the bank’s QE programmes capped at £435

Policy is unlikely to change, but the way the MPC votes, could
shift. (The MPC is currently just eight members after the abrupt

resignation of new deputy governor Charlotte Hogg in March.

At the bank’s March meeting, the committee voted 8-1 in favour of
leaving rates unchanged, with just the outgoing Kristin Forbes
voting for a hike. One or two committee members are thought to be
considering joining her this month, with Ian McCafferty the most

While monetary policy will almost certainly be unchanged,
macroeconomic forecasts for both inflation and wider growth are
both likely to see significant changes, with numerous economists
speculating that the Old Lady of Threadneedle Street could raise
its inflation forecast from its current peak prediction of 2.8%
to somewhere around 3%.

Inflation has surged in recent months due to the plummeting value
of the pound since Britain voted to leave the EU last summer. The
fall in sterling has pushed up the price of importing goods,
which gets passed through to everyday items that people buy. This
is now showing up in official inflation data, with the
latest reading at 2.3%, a level not seen since early 2014.

Following the announcement of the BoE’s policy decisions and the
release of the Inflation Report at 12.00 p.m. BST (7.00 a.m. ET),
Governor Mark Carney will speak to the press to explain the
committee’s decisions and the contents of the report. His press
conference will begin at 12.30 p.m. BST (7.30 a.m. ET).

This post will be updated after the Bank of England’s
announcements are made.